Saturday, November 26, 2011

My stockpile for 4.3

Horde Guild Bank

I don't usually buy in bulk or horde inventory (aside from herbs and glyphs) but I thought it was time to have a quick stocktake before 4.3 hits.

I have about 532k on Alliance and 85k (after a little spending spree) on Horde.

I'm not a gem guy. I have plenty of rare gems ready to go for myself, but not a stockpile to sell. I recently lifted what feels like a ton of ore from the horde auction house, so I'll be able to produce gems as required when 4.3 rolls around.

I was surprised just how many volatiles I have, which will be great for pumping out buckles and leg patches. I'm also sitting on (what I consider) a lot of Truegold, which will be fantastic for burning through my orb collection.

I have just collected a fresh supply of herbs, and have been busy crafting glyphs now that I have reworked my glyphing (look forward to another post describing the changes). I'm probably sitting on anywhere between 80 - 100k worth of glyphs up on the AH, and towards double that in stock. I have a bunch of Darkmoon decks ready to go, with another bunch of partially completed decks as well. I've decided to wait until the 4.3 faire to hand them in, just in case Blizzard to something silly with the reputation earned.

Herbs on hand for potions, elixirs and flasks
I'm missing [Twilight Jasmine] as the last of my supply went into flasks for my guild and transmuting [Demonseye]. I haven't been too much into flasks and potions recently, and I'm waiting for 4.3 to restock on potions due to the change in required materials.

The other things I'm missing in my stockpile are for Enchanting and Leatherworking. I can't seem to get leather at a reasonable price lately, and the leg patches just keep on selling. So I'm basically down to 10 hides that will soon be leg patches and sold. I'm hoping someone dumps a bunch before the patch hits. I've also probably missed out on cheap crystals, as the price has steadily risen over the last couple of weeks. I made some predictions for 4.3 gold making, but have no clue with crystals. We'll get to split them into shards, plenty more people will be running 5 mans again... but will the increased demand for enchants outstrip the new supply of crystals and shards?

What are you stockpiling for 4.3?

[Hardened Elementium Bar]69
[Titansteel Bar]28
[Folded Obsidium]52
[Ebonsteel Belt Buckle]79
[Elementium Ore]5560
[Obsidium Ore]1298
[Pyrite Ore]1856
[Blackened Dragonscale]766
[Guardian Cub]3
[Inferno Ruby]43
[Ember Topaz]34
[Volatile Earth]1848
[Volatile Fire]1382
[Volatile Life]2579
[Volatile Water]263
[Volatile Air]199
[Chaos Orb]69
[Azshara's Veil]2250
[Inferno Ink]279
[Earthquake Deck]4
[Volcanic Deck]9
[Tsunami Deck]4
[Hurricane Deck]6
[Embersilk Cloth]383
[Hypnotic Dust]187
[Greater Celestial Essence]217
[Heavenly Shard]27
[Maelstrom Crystal]43

Gold making predictions for 4.3

Living Ember Price Falls pre 4.3

[Living Ember].The price has just been crashing leading up to the patch, bottoming out around 200g. My prediction for these is that they will rise in value after 4.3, since the supply will dry up much faster than the demand. With the LFR tool, there will be much less incentive to put together Firelands runs since it will be much easier to just jump into the LFR for a complete lack of mechanics to deal with, and better loot to boot. The supply will dry up very quickly. As for the demand, cheap 378 gloves and boots will be popular for alts looking to give their iLvl a little spit and polish before tackling the new 5 mans (which also give 378 loot) and Dragon Soul. Demand will fall off quite quickly, but there's coin to be made before it does. Putting my money where my mouth is, I have bought 16 of these at an average price of 230g for resale or crafting after 4.3 hits.

[Chaos Orb]. Assuming the current cost of a bound orb is 500g (if you can even find someone that has them), I predict these will crash down to under 50g each on the AH very quickly. I have 69 of them, mostly hidden away on two engineers and a tailor. I know I'm not alone, and when we unleash our stock on Azeroth, the supply will be plentiful. I plan to release mine as quickly as I can, but in the form of crafted weapons and armor.

365 Weapons. 365 weaponry will be a fantastic outlet for the massive glut of incoming orbs. Unfortunately for the weaponry, they will be competing against the 378 weapons in the new 5 man dungeons for alts and casual players. I predict there will be a lot of competition so the price will drop reasonably quickly until [Truegold] reserves are used up. Fortunately I have a good supply of Truegold, and I'll discuss my "stockpile" (much creative license taken) in my next post.

What are your predictions for the 4.3 economy?

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

500k Gold Milestone and Interview

I finally submitted my interview for the Warcraft Econ Hall of Fame, so head on over and check it out! In the mean time, I've been flipping cubs and managed to move another 100k across to horde while maintaning my 500k balance on Alliance.

I've also given my glyph operation a major overhaul, since the guild bank interface has gone from clumsy to unruly... a great feature for guild masters would be to allow turning off logging of transactions from guild bank tabs. It's not like the armory can provide an out of game interface for that anymore, and the amount of data kept for display in game isn't worth the hassle.

The picture above is from when I first introduced Twitchie the Gnome Warlock, but because he was a glypher, I couldn't show you his face.

Saturday, November 5, 2011

Guardian Cubs on Dath'Remar

The [Guardian Cub] is here, and the prices are already plummetting on Dath'Remar.

The cub started off at a modest 25k and fell to 15k almost immediately. The next morning it had hit 11k with a total of 13 cubs available. On day 3, it had hit 7.5k and has slid down to just over 7k.

At this point, I'll be waiting until it is under 5k to pick mine up... How long do you think that will take? Do you think it will even get there?

Update: The Undermine Journal is now updated with data over the last day or so, with the price dipping just under 6k.

October Glyph Sales

  • Total Glyph Sales: 53,937
  • Total Glyphs Sold: 1410
  • Average Price: 38g25s
So a very similar haul to last month as I go in to maintenance mode. I'm coming up to 25,000 glyphs since the start of Cataclysm, and have been putting my interview together for the Warcraft Econ Hall of Fame since I recently hit the 500k milestone. Yes, I snuck that in there... 500k, woo! More on that when the interview is up.